Nigeria’s Q4 2025 GDP Accelerates to 4.07% YoY – Broad-Based Gains from Oil Rebound and Services Resilience

Nigeria's real GDP expanded by 4.07% year-on-year in Q4 2025, up from 3.76% in Q4 2024, with quarter-on-quarter growth at 3.36%. This uptick stems from higher crude oil production averaging 1.58 million barrels per day, boosting the oil sector by 6.79%, alongside solid performances in agriculture (4.00%, from 2.54%) and services (4.15%).

Non-oil activities grew 3.99%, while services maintained dominance at ~55.92% of real GDP. Nominal GDP reached ₦122.81 trillion (up 17.55% YoY). For full-year 2025, real growth hit 3.87% (from 3.38% in 2024), expanding the economy to ₦441.5 trillion. The acceleration reflects improved oil dynamics, policy reforms enhancing agricultural output, and sustained domestic demand in services, signaling strengthening macroeconomic momentum amid ongoing diversification efforts.

Key Data Points

• Real GDP growth (YoY): 4.07% (prev. 3.76%)

• QoQ growth: 3.36%

• Oil sector growth: +6.79%

• Non-oil growth: +3.99%

• Services contribution: 55.92% of real GDP

• Nominal GDP: ₦122.81 trillion

• Full-year 2025 real GDP growth: 3.87%

Source(s) National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) – Q4 2025 GDP Report

The 4.07% Q4 print and 3.87% annual growth underscore a positive trajectory, with oil providing short-term lift and non-oil sectors (especially services) offering structural stability. Sustaining above 4% requires deepening reforms in agriculture and industry to reduce oil dependency and build resilience against global price volatility. This momentum supports cautious optimism for improved fiscal space and investor confidence in energy, fintech, and agribusiness.

Nigeria's economy grew 4.07% YoY in Q4 2025 fastest quarterly pace in years! Oil rebound + strong services drive broad recovery. Full-year 3.87%. Momentum building into 2026.